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(https://www.axa-im.com/media-centre/sound-progress-podcast/sound-progress-episode-8-hold-steady-sustainability-face-polycrisis)

In the face of the global polycrisis of war, climate change, slow growth, and political instability, corporate leaders are revaluating their net zero commitments to prioritize concerns such as supply chain resources, high interest rates, and declining consumer demand amid a cost-of-living crisis.

In this episode of Sound Progress, our host Herschel Pant speaks to Simon Rawson, Deputy Chief Executive of ShareAction; Gilles Guibout, Head of European Equity Strategies at AXA IM; and Héloïse Courault, Senior Corporate Governance and Stewardship Analyst at AXA IM, about shifting corporate priorities and why it is important that CEOs to hold steady on their sustainability commitments.

  • What are companies saying about ESG? We apply our bespoke natural language processing model to corporate earnings calls
  • Mentions of the term "ESG" have fallen to almost zero in the US amid pushback; Europe and LatAm still use the term...
  • ...but whether they say the word "ESG" or not, companies continue to comment on related themes

Clients of HSBC Global Research can access the full report via the HSBC Global Research website or by contacting Wai-Shin Chan

Making sense of ESG: The ESG landscape has changed drastically over recent years. After a surge of interest from global stakeholders, the mood has tempered, with especially strong pushback in the US. But what does this mean for what companies are thinking, saying, and - crucially - doing about ESG issues?
Our research and data science approach: To answer this question, working with the HSBC Data Science Team, we applied a bespoke ESG natural language processing (NLP) model to earnings calls globally. Our NLP analysis can provide insight into how changing sentiment is impacting corporate communications and actions.
 
Generally speaking, we find:
  • Historically, even before the term ESG gained widespread currency, company management teams were communicating ESG content to investors.
  • The rapid rise in popularity of ESG terminology over the past several years likely brought inflated use to the term and raised greenwashing risk.
  • The difficult environment for ESG of late has forced refinement, clarity, and consolidation in ESG communications and actions.
  • Today, management is giving more ESG information than before, and investors seem to be talking about it less.
The extent and nature of ESG conversations differ by region: In the US, mentions of ESG terms have fallen almost to nothing amid strong pushback. European corporates are talking the most about ESG themes generally on earnings calls, perhaps because of the region's advanced ESG regulatory regime. Meanwhile, LatAm mentions ESG terminology the most - potentially raising greenwashing risks. We also examine the Asia and MENAT regions, offering our take on the changes in ESG conversations over time and what investors can learn from this.
 
Overall, the use of ESG information is maturing: In our view, ESG information is a key part of a larger set of material, financial, and non-financial information that is necessary to understand the full picture of an investment and make informed decisions. 

(https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=10802&post_id=141235156&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=2u2apu&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNzE0MjgwMzQsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE0MTIzNTE1NiwiaWF0IjoxNzEzODU3NDc5LCJleHAiOjE3MTY0NDk0NzksImlzcyI6InB1Yi0xMDgwMiIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.gtZBOjBHcD2kJ3NwQqcyJlR5Fb58hFYtOrKhoMHnUuw)

One of the hotly predicted trends of the coming years is the rise in reshoring as a reaction to the supply chain disruptions of recent years. A big part of this reshoring trend will be the increased adoption of robots and other automation technologies in industrialised countries, in particular in industries where in the past we had no robots (e.g. service industries). The naïve conclusion would be to avoid companies that benefit from global trade like logistics firms because bringing production to industrialised countries, there is less need to ship goods across the globe. But investors might apply a faulty logic there.
I think expecting global trade to grow less as reshoring (aka backshoring aka homeshoring, you pick your favourite terminology) might be another exercise in first level thinking, like the assumption during the pandemic that there will be less demand for office space since everybody keeps working from home or that the future of work leads to increasing disparities among the regions of the US.
A team from the LMU in Munich and the University of Göttingen looked at the impact the adoption of robots in Europe had on exports from Latin America to Europe. They found that yes, if a country in Europe increased its use of robots the exports of goods from developing countries to that country in that industry declined. Increased adoption of robots led to a roughly 3.8% drop in the exports in that industry to that country.

(https://cdn.pficdn.com/cms1/pgim4/sites/default/files/PGIM-ESG-Great-Expectations-0424.pdf)

Is ‘engagement washing’ poised to be the next term maligning asset management’s ESG movement? Institutional investors often engage with companies they invest in to improve those companies’ environmental, social and governance practices— rivalling capital allocation as a core mechanism for achieving sustainable investment outcomes. But do engagement activities really deliver impactful, positive, real-world outcomes?

As a growing number of institutional investors make ambitious sustainability commitments, the volume of engagement activity reports grows with them. Company interactions on sustainability topics are commonplace, the range of engagement themes has widened, and goals have become loftier. Meanwhile codes of best practices are evolving to encourage a focus on real-world outcomes in engagement reporting, in contrast to the investment outcome focus of just a few years ago.

Yet, there is a growing realisation – and genuine bewilderment – that engagement for positive sustainability outcomes is not living up to the expectations of its proponents. When it comes to mitigating the negative impacts of certain economic activities on our environment and society, engagement can be influential, but it is rarely transformational—and an engagement expectation gap is emerging.

(https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5d0cee8d37a63200017a0906/t/6616e202d3092b46f4e1513e/1712775683049/Unleasing+Impact+Through+Gender+Lens+Investing.pdf)

Gender lens investing offers investors a process for identifying and weighing issues pertaining to gender-based issues — pay equity, gender diversity, and career advancement, to name a few. Zevin AM integrate these findings into their investment decision-making with the goal of mitigating risk, identifying opportunities, and creating positive social impact.  

Only about 12.5% of portfolio managers across U.S.-based funds in 2022 were women, almost unchanged from the previous ten years, according to Morningstar. The financial services industry has historically been unwelcoming to women given toxic working environments stemming from a culture of bullying, misogyny, and sexual harassment. Changing that culture is one aspect of Zevin's approach to gender lens investing.  

Gender lens investing includes supporting shareholder proposals that seek to expand disclosure of workforce diversity or to improve or adopt policies that promote an inclusive workplace. Zevin AM believe shareholder requests for improving workforce diver sity, equity and inclusion (DEI) position a company for long-term success. 

Experian: Sustainability & SDG contribution roadshow (for investors & analysts) (21 May, 10 & 12 June / 31 July)

Experian’s sustainability-focused investor roadshows this year will focus on how their innovative products help improve the financial health of millions of people around the world and support financial inclusion for underserved and diverse populations. It will also introduce their new positive social impact framework which will be used in future to quantify how many people their products are helping thrive on their financial journey.

Sustainable investors and SRI/ESG analysts are invited to join meetings with company management to discuss:

  • an update on the company’s products and programmes for financial health which contribute to UN SDGs 1, 8 & 9.  (No poverty; Decent work & economic growth; Industry, innovation & infrastructure).
  • an introduction to the new positive social impact framework
  • wider aspects of the company’s ESG strategy and performance.

Analysts and investors to join the following events on Experian’s regular sustainability / ESG roadshow:

  • Briefing call for ESG ratings agency analysts (Tues 21 May & 15:00 (London))
    • Company participants: Evelyne Bull (Director, Investor Relations) & Melissa Goncalves Ferreira (Global Head of Sustainability)
    • RSVP via SRI-Connect here or This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
  • 1-on-1 and small group meetings for investors (10th and 12th June)
    • Company participants: Evelyne Bull, Charlie Brown (Company Secretary), Abigail Lovell (Chief Sustainability Officer), Melissa Goncalves Ferreira
    • RSVP This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
  • Briefing call for ‘sell-side’ sustainability analysts Weds 31 July 15:00 (London))
    • Company participants: Evelyne Bull, Nadia Ridout-Jamieson (Chief Communications Officer), Charlie Brown
    • RSVP via SRI-Connect here or This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

This briefing should be of interest and relevance to:

  • ESG research and ratings analysts covering the company and also to
  • analysts responsible for identifying sustainability thematic opportunities – notably social thematic opportunities and those related to the UN Sustainable Development Goals.

  • As the world continues to warm, the focus on clean investments is also soaring...
  • ...leading to an increasing relevance of companies that operate in this domain
  • We use our proprietary HSBC Climate Solutions Database to create thirteen thematic climate stock screens

Clients of HSBC Global Research can access the full report via the HSBC Global Research website or by contacting Wai-Shin Chan

Investments in global energy transition, land-use and other clean technologies are growing at a brisk pace. However, they need to accelerate further into trillions of dollars per year to meet global climate goals and to make economies more resilient to adverse climate change impacts. Effective execution of climate ambitions could support clean-tech sectors, and corporates that operate in this space could benefit from rising investments. In this report, we use our proprietary HSBC Climate Solutions Database to present 13 stock screens across 10 broad strategies aligned with various thematic ideas. Overall, screens offer around 340 stock names which are involved in providing climate solutions - both mitigation and adaptation.

(https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=10802&post_id=141725037&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=2u2apu&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNzE0MjgwMzQsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE0MTcyNTAzNywiaWF0IjoxNzEzNzY1NjYxLCJleHAiOjE3MTYzNTc2NjEsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0xMDgwMiIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.JnrgJEx3ajPXAFp75Ue57lbauZ9IqcIZ_59LPu-zHYk)

We know that active fund managers can only beat a benchmark if they have skill in selecting stocks and/or timing the market. But we also know that skill is a rare commodity and the majority of fund managers do not have skill. But what about ESG funds and their skill in picking stocks that improve their ESG credentials over time?

team from the University of Virginia decided to investigate if there is such a thing as ESG skill and if it translates into better performance for ESG funds. To do this, they took inspiration from the conventional measure of skill, namely the ability to buy stocks when the price is low and sell them when the price is high. Similarly, they defined ESG skill as the ability of fund managers to buy stocks before their ESG ratings are upgraded (i.e. when the ESG performance is low) and sell them when the ESG performance is high.

Using three different ESG ratings methodologies, the study found that close to 50% of ESG fund managers have some form of ESG skill in the sense that they are on average able to buy stocks before their ESG ratings are being upgraded. But that skill is tiny, and the picture becomes much more selective if one is looking for statistically significant levels of skill. If one wants to have a 95% probability that the manager has ESG skill only about 5-10% of managers qualify. 

(https://www.accelaresearch.com/research/agm2024sectorreport)

"Accela’s annual pre-AGM in-depth on Global Oil and Gas Majors, assesses the achievability of and the investment needed to meet net carbon intensity targets. 

This report launches Accela’s Transition League Table, a new framework to rank European major's oil and gas transition strategies, incorporating the most critical elements of transition performance.

In our latest analysis, we delve into the performance and ambition of the transition plans for 5 European and 2 Australian oil and gas majors. 

Our analysis finds minimal progress in reducing net carbon intensity (declining on average ~4% on FY19-23) compared with targets of 15-20% (FY19-23), with European majors needing to deliver ~US$300 bn of investment between now and 2030 to meet existing targets."  

(https://go.gfi-apac.org/e/968373/state-of-the-industry-reports-/j25r8/497023957/h/SWY3qkUNB7hFffpDoByxv0atSTW-SIuc1fpl1p_sfD8)

"For the past five years, GFI’s global State of the Industry Report series has provided a macro lens on the alternative protein landscape’s evolution, helping stakeholders view recent news developments in a more complete context. 

Broken down into the three alt protein pillars—plant-based, cultivated, and fermentation—our open-access reports are chock full of notable highlights and hurdles, making each one well worth your time."

(https://palmoilscorecard.panda.org/)

'In 2024, the urgency to combat climate change peaks. The palm oil industry, a major player, demands swift action. The 2024 Palm Oil Buyers Scorecard by WWF reveals a sobering truth: palm oil buyers are yet to step up to the challenge, leaving the fate of our planet hanging in the balance. The Scorecard is our wake-up call, emphasising the need for bold, transformative measures for a sustainable future.'

NB: scorecard contains a number of quoted company brands

(https://www.centrica.com/media/ag0mxnig/people-and-planet-incl-tcfd-ar-2023.pdf)

Centrica: People & Planet Update 2023

Centrica's latest Annual Report contains a people & planet section, covering:

  • Foundations - Customers, colleagues, communities and ethics
  • Non-financial and sustainability information 
  • Material risks and opportunities 
  • Performance metrics

HSBC: Climate Investment Update - EU Green Deal: Deforestation regulation is under fire

  • Some EU member states are attempting to delay or possibly scale back the EUDR; trading partners are also critical
  • The EU has already delayed the country risk classification system and most industries and countries are underprepared
  • We think there are indications that the full implementation of the EUDR will be delayed; cattle and cocoa industry will gain

Clients of HSBC Global Research can access the full report via the HSBC Global Research website or by contacting Wai-Shin Chan

We have talked about it before − why are we coming back to this topic again? The European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) was published in the EU Official Journal on 9 June 2023; it is EU law (Actions not just words, 15 Dec 2022). The main obligations apply from 30 December 2024. But all is not well following growing calls for a delay to its implementation. So, what has happened?
 
Removal of country risk classification system. In a first sign of delay in implementation, the EU decided to temporarily remove the country risk classification system; this classifies countries on the risks of producing commodities that are deforestation related. Several major exporters of covered commodities have criticised the labelling system and are concerned that it could cause reputational damage if they are labelled as "high risk".

(https://www.kic.kr/_custom/kic/_common/board/download.jsp?attach_no=46333)

Korea Investment Corporation latest annual Sustainable Investment report covers key areas of their activities, including:

  • ESG Integration - ESG Integration, ESG Review and ESG Program
  • Climate Change - Carbon Footprint, Climate Scenario Analysis and Risks 
  • Stewardship Activities - Proxy Voting, Shareholder Engagement, and Voting Cases 
  • Partnership