Research RFP: First Sentier Investors - Sustainable food systems research series – Food and Health
The aim of the report will be to offer investors and other interested stakeholders a comprehensive view on the central issues related to health impacts of the food sector, barriers to action, regulatory approaches in key jurisdictions, industry best practices and prominent investor and asset owner initiatives.
.
Background
Nutrition and access to food
According to the FAO estimation, approximately 700 million people were affected by hunger in 2022; further, 2.4 billion people in the same year were food insecure (lacking access to adequate food). People are also increasingly struggling to access nutritious food – in 2021 over 3 billion people globally were unable to afford a healthy diet. At the same time, 2.5 billion people in 2022 were overweight or obese – corresponding to 43% of adults. While high obesity rates have been historically associated with high-income societies, this has been increasingly changing, with low and middle-income countries (particularly Polynesia, Micronesia, the Caribbean, the Middle East and North Africa) facing malnutrition issues stemming from prevalence of both undernutrition and obesity. Child obesity also continues to be a critical issue: the prevalence of overweight in children under five years of age increased from 5.3% in 2000 to 5.6% in 2022 globally. While Europe and Central Asia demonstrate a positive trend, Latin America, the Caribbean, East Asia and Pacific, and MENA regions are among regions where urgent action is needed.
.
Obesity has significant negative economic impact: the global costs are projected to reach US$30 trillion annually by 2030 if the status quo is maintained. Higher Body Mass Index (BMI) is linked to noncommunicable diseases such as diabetes, cancer, and stroke which constitute the leading cause of death globally. Obese children experience increased risk of fractures, hypertension, insulin resistance and are likely to have a higher chance of obesity and disability in the adult age. Health conditions related to excess body weight result in high economic costs comprised of direct (healthcare services) and indirect (loss of productivity, insurance, wages) costs. A recent estimation predicts that by 2035 the global economic impact of overweight and obesity will reach US$4.3 trillion annually. On a national level, annual healthcare costs of obesity in the US were close to US$173 billion; in the UK, annual NHS costs of obesity-related diseases is estimated at £6.5 billion.
.
Addressing malnutrition and obesity is key to bringing down the healthcare costs, improving productivity and individual health outcomes. Further, it is central to meeting the Sustainable Development Goals (in particular SDG 2 – Zero Hunger and SDG 3 – Health). The global food sector is at the centre of stakeholder attention in relation to this issue as product portfolios, sales and marketing practices are increasingly scrutinised by the regulators, consumers, and civil society groups.
.
Key regulatory measures addressing malnutrition and obesity include: taxes on sugary drinks (implemented in 117 countries, including the UK, Mexico, and South Africa; food labelling of products in shops and menus (examples including the US,UK and Australia); restrictions on unhealthy food marketing (16 countries introduced restrictions on unhealthy food marketing to children such as TV advertising during children’s programming); restrictions on sales of unhealthy food (for example, Chile bans marketing or sale of unhealthy food at schools). Another approach is mandating food reformulation to reduce saturated fat, added sugar or salt content, or reduce portion sizes – Argentina, South Africa, and several European countries have introduced mandatory limits on nutrient contents of certain products.
.
Increasing stakeholder attention to the influence of food retailers and manufacturers on human health has also manifested in several public controversies linked to food sales and marketing including: infant food formula marketing practices and sales of baby food products with excessive sugar levels. Despite the growing pressure and associated reputational risks, consumer-facing food companies are not yet prioritising addressing health impacts on their products: according to the World Benchmarking Alliance, less than 20% of food companies disclose their progress on product reformulation, and very few have targets to increase the sales of healthy foods.
.
On the investor side, several collective initiatives are taking action to facilitate the industry shift towards healthier products, including:
- the Healthy Markets Initiative, led by ShareAction and representing over US$5 trillion AUM; the aim is to engage with the largest global food manufactures seeking a strategic shift towards increasing sales of healthy products. Prominent recent engagements include Nestle and Unilever.
- Access to Nutrition Initiative, which involves collaboratively engaging companies rated by the ATNI in their Index to improve their nutrition performance; investor signatories comprise approximately US$ 17.6 trillion AUM.
AMR and food safety
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is another key health-related issue for the food sector. Over 70% of antimicrobials sold globally are used on livestock – they are critical to ensuring food security and safety by allowing to effectively treat livestock diseases; they also facilitate production growth enabling the producers to meet the increasing global demand for animal protein. However, excessive use of antibiotics can lead to bacteria developing resistance, with severe consequences for animal and human health such as treatment failure (as antibiotics become ineffective against resistant bacteria making some diseases impossible to treat). According to 2019 data, AMR directly caused 1.27 million deaths globally, and contributed to almost 5 million deaths; the World Bank estimates that AMR could increase healthcare costs by US$ 1 trillion by 2050, and cause annual GDP losses of up to US$ 3.4 trillion by 2030.
.
According to recent studies, antimicrobial use in livestock is projected to increase by 8% by 2030 compared to 2020 levels. National policies governing the use of antimicrobials in animal production significantly vary, with some key exporter countries (e.g. Brazil) lacking a comprehensive legal approach, while others impose stringent restrictions on their use. Existing data on antimicrobial usage is also inconsistent across regions: on a positive side, over 30 EU countries provide regular reporting.
.
While the AMR risks are less widely understood, global investors are becoming increasingly aware of the need for action on this issue in the context of the food industry. This is evident in the increasing number of shareholder resolutions calling for companies to address their AMR risk, the collective initiatives such as Investor Action on AMR and the more recent engagement campaign organised by FAIRR to address use of antibiotics in fast food supply chains.
Report
This report will provide a high-level, investor-relevant analysis of the key impacts of food sector on human health, such as relationship to malnutrition and obesity, and food safety concerns including AMR. The report will cover the following elements:
- Quantifying human and economic impacts of obesity, malnutrition, AMR
- The relationship between the food sector and these health impacts
- Current food sales and marketing practices, including infant and children products
- Regulatory approaches including sugar taxes, food labelling, sales and marketing restrictions, product reformulation
- Subsector-specific risks
- Investor voting and engagement guidance
Research Approach:
- Establish the exact scope of the report, along with literature and data to be used in discussion with SII
- Provide an outline of the project and a timeline
- Conduct research on the current impacts of food sector on human health in accordance with the scope established with SII.
Proposal guidelines:
In your proposal, please include the following information:
- Proposed research methodology
- The proposed scope of the research
- Proposed relevant publications to be used as literature review
- Proposed report structure
- Proposed timetable for execution of the project, including intended interaction with the Institute and report reviews. Please indicate the earliest project complication.
- Proposed fees and costs
- Short biographies or skills profile of the proposed team members
Instructions:
Please submit a proposal by email to institute@firstsentier.com with a cc to:
Proposed timelines:
- This RFP is issued on 24.07.2024
- Any questions or feedback regarding the brief should be submitted by 31.07.2024
- Answers to any questions will be provided by 02.08.2024
- Proposal should be submitted to the Institute by 07.08.2024 together with availability for a 1 hour call to discuss the proposals in the week of 12.08.2024
- Target for notifying the successful tenderer by 23.08.2024
Project - Deliverable - Timeline (time from the inception)
- Outline and plan for the work - 10 weeks
- Desktop research raw data (summarized and structured way) - 18 weeks
- First draft with analysis result - 22 weeks
- Final draft with intro/recommendations, etc. - 26 weeks
Legal:
- The Institute’s standard Legal Contract for commissioned research will be used
- The reports Intellectual property will belong to the Institute
- The Institute will have the right to publish the research under its own brand
- Attribution to the author(s) and their organisation will be given in the final report
- The Institute will retain editorial control over the reports content
- The authors should ensure the report contains no personal information, that any images included are licensed for their intended use and they have distribution rights for any third party references and data
Institute’s use of the report and its content
The Institute would publish the report on its websites (English and Japanese). In addition to that, the Institute may want to use parts of the content or produce new content based on all or parts of the work presented in the report. That could be shared with other 3rd parties and could include, but would not be limited to:
- using charts and/or quotes in presentation prepared by the Institute
- using charts and/or quotes in presentation prepared by her FSI and MUTB/MUFG staff
- webinars to present and promote the findings of the report
- presenting and promoting the findings of the report at conferences
- publicizing the publication of the report with a press release
- preparing e-mail notifications to promote the paper
- writing blogs for our websites and/or articles for other media
- using charts/ quotes from the report for posts on our linkedin account or using other text/material that introduces and promotes the paper on linkedin
Investment advice and financial promotions
- The report must not include, or be capable of being construed as investment advice.
- Ideally the report should not reference individual identifiable listed securities; explicitly or implicitly. Where this is unavoidable, any reference must be restricted to information in the public domain with appropriate citation.
- The report must not constitute a financial promotion. Consequently any reference to FSI or MUFG products is prohibited
Other
- The report could follow a similar style to previous reports commissioned by the Institute, but other formats are also acceptable as our priority is to use the most suitable style that achieves clear, simple and easy to follow messaging and maximize the use of visuals, tables, lists.
- The report is intended for publication in the public domain
- Please specify in your proposal if you are able to provide us with a finished formatted report, following the Institute’s style and branding
- If the Institute retains responsibility for report design, the Institute will expect all visuals to be prepared and provided in a format that can be easily replicated by an external design/ typeset agency. This includes all necessary source data
- The Institute will expect collaboration on developing infographics/visuals, if such are deemed effective and in support of the report messaging
- The Institute will arrange for the report to be translated into Japanese for publication on the Japanese language version of the Institute’s website